New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Preview, Odds, Prediction

Jan 14, 2017; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) warms up before the start of the game against the Houston Texans at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 14, 2017; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) warms up before the start of the game against the Houston Texans at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports /
facebooktwitterreddit
Prev
3 of 4
Next

ODDS:

NFL: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
NFL: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins /

ODDS:

Unlike last week against Houston with the double-digit point spreads, the Patriots have not seen the line move much against the Steelers. Opening as 5.5 point favorites on most lines, a flurry of betting on the Patriots pushed the line up to six points in most books.

The line has held steady at six points at almost all the books. There have been the usual outliers coming in for a while at five or 6.5 points, but all the major sportsbooks have been steady at six points.

Part of the spread staying around six points is the disparity of the Steelers’ offense at home and on the road. On the road, the Steelers average 225 yards passing per game on the road versus averaging 255 yards passing per game overall. Their defense remains the same home or away, but New England’s offense is pretty consistent home or away.

New England is 3-0 versus Pittsburgh in their last three games with New England 2-0 versus the spread with one push. New England is 14-3 against the spread this season overall while the Steelers are 11-6 with one push against the spread.

Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, 5Dimes, TopBet, BetNow, SportBet, GT Bets, and Intertops are all offering New England as six point favorite. New England has averaged 36.6 points per game in those last three games while the Steelers have averaged just 22.6 points in those games.

With the weather forecast as being cloudy with no precipitation and minimal wind and the temperature around 40 degrees, there is little impact expected. Neither team should have any special advantage due to weather.

Both teams have won nine of their last ten games and both have covered the spread in their last five games.