Patriots Super Bowl 59 odds (New England has the worst odds in the AFC)

Oddsmakers are not projecting a big turnaround in Jerod Mayo’s first season. 

Jan 17, 2024; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo (L) and owner Robert Kraft.
Jan 17, 2024; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo (L) and owner Robert Kraft. / Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

For the first time since 1999, the New England Patriots will start a season without Bill Belichick on the sidelines. After six Super Bowls, Belichick stepped down after New England’s 4-13 campaign ended in January and now the Patriots are rebuilding. 

New head coach Jerod Mayo has filled out his staff, with Alex Van Pelt tabbed as the new offensive coordinator and DeMarcus Covington promoted to defensive coordinator. 

New England’s defense was still one of the best in the NFL last season, ranking seventh overall in yards allowed, 11th against the pass, fourth against the run and 15th in scoring.

It was the offense that was historically bad behind abysmal play at the quarterback position. New England’s offense was 30th in yards and tied with Carolina for last in the league in scoring, putting up a measly 13.9 points per game. 

The tandem of Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe combined to throw for less than 200 yards per game with 21 interceptions and just 16 touchdowns. 

New England is now at the bottom of the Super Bowl oddsboard. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Patriots are +17000 to win the Super Bowl ($100 bet wins $17,000).

That gives New England an implied probability of just 0.58% to win the Lombardi Trophy for the seventh time in franchise history. New England will be a distant longshot to make noise in its own division with the Buffalo Bills (+1200) and Miami Dolphins (+2100) each in the top-10 in Super Bowl odds while the New York Jets (+3000) are within striking distance.

New England has the 31st worst odds to win it all with only the Carolina Panthers (+25000) having longer odds. 

New England’s fourth-place 2024 schedule includes fellow last-place finishers in the Los Angeles Chargers, Chicago Bears and Cincinnati Bengals. 

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New England Patriots Super Bowl 59 odds

New England had eight different quarterbacks on the roster over last season and it doesn’t appear its Week 1 starter in 2024 was one of them. Jones was a Pro Bowler and was second in AP Offensive Rookie of the Year voting (Ja’Marr Chase) in 2021 in leading New England to a playoff spot. His Patriots’ career is likely over, though, after going just 8-17 over the last two seasons with 23 interceptions and 24 touchdowns. 

Who will be under center for New England? The Patriots will likely draft its future quarterback with the No. 3 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Right now, LSU quarterback and Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels is the favorite to be taken with the third overall pick. 

Odds update periodically and are subject to change.