3 best prop bets for Patriots vs Texans in Week 5

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 19: Quarterback Mac Jones #10 and running back Damien Harris #37 of the New England Patriots celebrate Harris' third quarter touchdown against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on September 19, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 19: Quarterback Mac Jones #10 and running back Damien Harris #37 of the New England Patriots celebrate Harris' third quarter touchdown against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on September 19, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
(Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images) /

1. Mac Jones over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+115)

If you couldn’t already tell, we’re expecting the Patriots to mop the floor with Houston on Sunday. New England’s high-priced offense has been a major disappoint this season, but the group should enjoy a coming out party vs the Texans.

Mac Jones had his rookie coming out party against the Bucs, when he outplayed Brady, who was off target on a number of throws. For the game, the No. 15 overall pick finished 31-of-40 (77.5%) for 275 yards and two touchdowns to one interception, equating to a 101.6 passer rating.

We know Tampa’s secondary is banged up, but to finish with those numbers while facing consistent pressure from one of the best pass rushes in the NFL is impressive, especially when you take the context of the game into consideration.

Bill Belichick will want Jones to piggyback off that performance so that he develops more confidence, so expect the Alabama product to drop back to pass close to 30 times in this one. That should be more than enough opportunities for him to throw at least two passing touchdowns against a sorry Houston defense.

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