Week 14 kicks off on Thursday night with an AFC matchup in Foxboro as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the New England Patriots. Even though both teams are missing key players on offense, we still found some solid plays to create a same game parlay.
With a same game parlay, bettors can take two or more of their favorite bets from a particular game and put them together in hopes of a big payout. For Thursday night’s game, I’ll be using DraftKings Sportsbook to hopefully compile a winning same game parlay using sides, totals, and player props.
Best Same Game Parlay Picks for Steelers vs. Patriots (+1300)
- Bailey Zappe UNDER 161.5 passing yards (-120)
- Ezekiel Elliott OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Pat Freiermuth OVER 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Jaylen Warren Anytime Touchdown (+130)
Bailey Zappe UNDER 161.5 passing yards (-120)
Zappe struggled mightily in his first start of the season last week against the Chargers. The second-year quarterback completed a pedestrian 52% of his passes for 141 yards. He also averaged 5.6 yards gained per attempt and was sacked five times.
Now he will face the Steelers’ defense on Thursday night, which only allows quarterbacks to complete 59.2% of their passes (second-best in the NFL). However, Pittsburgh’s defense is ranked 14th in opponent passing yards per game (227.3).
Jake Browning, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, and Will Levis have all succeeded against the Steelers’ defense over the last five games. However, Zappe doesn’t have the playmakers that those quarterbacks have at WR/RB, making this a tough spot for him to go over.
Ezekiel Elliott OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
With Rhamondre Stevenson out for multiple games with a high ankle sprain, the Patriots will lean on Elliott to carry the rushing attack. Last week against the Chargers, Elliott had 52 yards on 17 carries. His YPC average (3.1) wasn’t anything special vs. LA, but he did his best to replace Stevenson.
Elliott has yet to start a game for New England this season, but he does have four games with double-digit carries. The former Cowboys running back has had at least 50-plus rushing yards in three out of those four games.
Elliott will look to exploit a Steelers defense that allows 121 rushing yards per game this season and gave up 150 rushing yards last week to the Cardinals.
Pat Freiermuth OVER 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
There isn’t much to love about the Steelers’ passing game with Mitch Trubisky as their starting quarterback for Thursday. However, the hope is that Trubisky can get multiple guys involved, including Freiermuth.
Since returning from injury, Freiermuth has become an integral part of the Steelers’ offense, recording 16 targets over his last two games. After going off for 120 yards against the Bengals in Week 12, Freiermuth fell back down to earth against the Cardinals (three receptions for 29 yards).
Nonetheless, even with Trubisky at quarterback, Freiermuth can get 30 yards against this New England defense. This season, New England is ranked 20th in DVOA-TE and allowing 37.9 receiving yards per game to the position, per ftnfantasy.com.
Jaylen Warren anytime touchdown scorer (+130)
Someone has to score a touchdown on Thursday night, so why not Warren? Najee Harris has an unexpected knee injury, which puts his playing status in doubt. If Harris can’t go, we will see a ton of Warren.
The 25-year-old running back has scored two touchdowns in his last four games and received seven red zone rushing attempts over that stretch. The Patriots have allowed nine total TDs to opposing RBs this season, including four in their last five games.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.