The New England Patriots will face the Cleveland Browns in week six in Cleveland. What do the betting markets say about this game? The Patriots beat the snot out of the Detroit Lions in week five by a score of 29-0, and they have a somewhat similar matchup in week six against the Browns.
The Patriots are playing this game away from their home, so that presents a bit of a challenge. The Browns are 2-3 themselves after a loss to the Chargers. Deshaun Watson is suspended for another six games, and Jacoby Brissett has played reasonably well, however it’s clear that he is no Deshaun Watson.
The Browns are a tough and well-coached team, so this game should not be a cakewalk like the one against the Lions. What do the betting markets say about the teams’ chances on Sunday?
According to FanDuel, the Browns are favored by three points in this matchup. The Patriots odds against the spread are -114, so a $10 bet wins $8.77. Picking the Patriots to win this game via the moneyline wins $12.60 on a $10 bet.
The over/under total for this game is at 42.5, which is slightly on the lower end. Personally, I like New England’s chances in this game to at least cover the spread.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Predictions for Patriots vs. Browns
The Cleveland Browns sport the 5th worst rushing defense in the NFL, allowing a whopping 138.2 yards per game. The are middle of the pack in terms of passing defense. They are also the 9th worst scoring defense in the NFL, allowing 25 points per game.
On the flip side, the Patriots have the 9th best rushing attack, so expect to see a very, very heavy dose of the running game. The Patriots have the 11th best passing defense, so I would also expect Jacoby Brissett to be limited.
The real deciding factor in this game will be the team’s rushing attacks. We know that the Pats’ backs have a favorable matchup with their running backs. The Patriots’ 22nd ranked rushing defense is nothing to be impressed with, but their 12th ranked scoring offense is very good.
Ultimately, I think New England’s defense can make life hard for Jacoby Brissett. I’d expect Nick Chubb to have a good day, but Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris have a better matchup than Chubb does.