Five bold predictions for Patriots visit to Green Bay

Sep 18, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson (38) runs the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the fourth quarter at Acrisure Stadium. The Patriots won 17-14. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 18, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson (38) runs the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the fourth quarter at Acrisure Stadium. The Patriots won 17-14. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports /
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Hunter Henry, Patriots
HOUSTON, TEXAS – OCTOBER 10: Hunter Henry #85 of the New England Patriots (Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images) /

Five bold predictions for Patriots in week four

Hunter Henry catches at least three passes

The absence of Hunter Henry in the passing game has been a confusing development so far in the 2022 season for the Patriots. A season ago, Henry finished second on the team with 75 targets and reeled in a career-high nine touchdowns as he developed a good connection with quarterback Mac Jones. So far this year, Henry is eighth on the team with 5 targets, or one more than Ty Montgomery who has only played in one game.

Of all tight ends who have run at least 50 routes, Henry ranks dead last in target percentage (7%) but I think that can change this week. With Brian Hoyer under center, I can see him taking less chances down the field than Jones and settling for easy completions underneath against the Green Bay zone. Tight end Cameron Brate of the Buccaneers was able to haul in five grabs last week and I think the Patriots finally get Henry going in week four.