Commanders vs. Patriots prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 9

A full betting preview for NFL Week 9 action between the Commanders and Patriots

Oct 29, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) looks to
Oct 29, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) looks to / Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots weren't able to pull off a second straight upset against an AFC opponent and as a result have fallen to 2-6 on the season with little hope of making the playoffs.

Luckily, the Pats get to face a Washington Commanders team in Week 9 that just traded away two of their best defensive players, Montez Sweat and Chase Young. Can New England get the job done at home?

In this article, I'm going to break down everything you need to know to bet on this game, but if you want my picks for the rest of the Week 9 slate, check out this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets".

If you want to get in on the action this week, be sure to place your bets over at WynnBET Sportsbook, a top option for bettors located in Massachusetts.

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Commanders vs. Patriots odds, run line, and total

The odds listed below are via WynnBET Sportsbook.


  • Commanders +3 (-105)
  • Patriots -3 (-115)


  • Commanders +142
  • Patriots -165


  • 40 (Over -110/Under -110)

Commanders vs. Patriots betting trends

  • Commanders are 1-5 straight up in their last six games
  • Commanders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games
  • The UNDER is 5-1 in the Commanders' last six games vs. AFC opponents
  • Commanders are 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. AFC East opponents
  • Patriots are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the Patriots' last seven games
  • Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games

Commanders vs. Patriots injury reports

Washington Commanders injury report

  • Cody Barton - LB - IR
  • Saahdiq Charles - OT - IR
  • Ricky Stromberg - C - Questionable
  • Curtis Samuel - WR - Questionable

New England Patriots injury report

  • Calvin Anderson - OT - Questionable
  • Vaderian Lowe - OT - Questionable
  • Josh Uche - LB - Questionable
  • Kendrick Bourne - WR - IR
  • Tyrone Wheatley - OT - IR

Commanders vs. Patriots how to watch

  • Date: Sunday, November 5
  • Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): FOX
  • Washington Commanders Record: 3-5
  • New England Patriots Record: 2-6

Commanders vs. Patriots prediction and pick

With the Commanders trading away two of their best defensive players, the only bet to make in this game is the OVER.

Washington's defense was already one of the worst in the NFL, ranking 29th in opponent yards per play, giving up 5.7 yards per snap. The biggest strength of that unit was their pass rush, but with Sweat in Chicago and Young in San Francisco, they aren't going to be able to find any way to pressure Mac Jones.

With that being said, the Commanders' offense has some weapons that New England should be wary of. Jahan Dotson, Curtis Samuel, and Terry McLaurin are one of the best wide receiver trios in the NFL.

Don't be surprised if both offenses are able to move the ball up and down the field, so with the total set at a low mark of 40, the move is to bet the OVER and root for points.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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