Betting expert highlights key trend for Patriots vs. Saints Week 5 matchup

BetSided NFL betting expert Iain MacMillan is fading both offenses between New Orleans and New England.

New England Patriots quarterback Bailey Zappe (4)
New England Patriots quarterback Bailey Zappe (4) / Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints have all the weapons a team could need to have a strong offense, but Derek Carr’s injured shoulder is holding them back. The Patriots are in a similar position, but need the quarterback to start making up for some of the issues elsewhere on the roster.

Mac Jones was benched last week in the team's blowout loss to the Cowboys, but he'll be back under center for New England as the team hosts the Saints with Carr's bum shoulder. Our NFL betting expert Iain MacMillian has a play on this one, focusing on the total between two struggling offenses.

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MacMillan picks every game of the season in his “Road to 272” and this week he wants to fade both offenses and points out a crucial trend. 

Saints vs. Patriots odds, spread and total


  • Saints: +1 (-110)
  • Patriots: -1 (-110)


  • Saints: +100
  • Patriots: -120

Total: 40 (Over -110/Under -110)

Betting expert for Patriots in Week 5

The intriguing weapons on the New Orleans offense makes this game hard for BetSided NFL betting expert Iain MacMillan to figure out. 

“On paper, the Saints should have a relatively good offense that can move the ball downfield. Alvin Kamara is back in the lineup, they have Chris Olave, and some solid play at quarterback, but yet they can't get any kind of momentum," MacMillian said. "They're averaging just 4.4 yards per play which ranks 29th in the NFL.”

On the other side, the Patriots aren’t even sure they have the right quarterback starting these games after a 38-3 loss to Dallas in which Mac Jones got benched for Bailey Zappe. That leads us logically to the under because we don’t know what we’re getting from these quarterbacks. 

“The UNDER has hit in 10 straight games for the Saints and a lot of them haven't even been close. The two defenses enter the game ranking sixth and eighth in opponent yards per play, giving up 4.7 and 4.8 yards respectively. They both also rank in the top half of the league in third down and red zone defense, both great aspects to have when you bet an UNDER.”

Follow all Iain MacMillan’s bets HERE

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change