Patriots Super Bowl odds (It’s a long way to the top)

Jan 8, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills defensive end Greg Rousseau (50) sacks New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) during the first half at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 8, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills defensive end Greg Rousseau (50) sacks New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) during the first half at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports /
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It’s hard to count out the New England Patriots any year they have Bill Belichick as their head coach.

This season, though, oddsmakers are listing the Patriots’ championship chances as a longshot, and it’s easy to see why.

Despite playing competitive football over the past three years since Tom Brady departed, the team hasn’t made it past the Wild Card round of the playoffs since he left.

Let’s examine the Patriots odds at winning the Super Bowl and what it may say about the season to come.

Super Bowl 58 Odds

Patriots at the bottom of the stack

The Patriots easily could have been a winning team last season – and maybe made the playoffs – if Jakobi Myers didn’t throw away the ball on the final play against the Raiders.

But still, the Patriots chances of winning the Super Bowl are long at +6000, the 24th longest odds in the NFL.

When you think of the situation the Patriots are in, that adds up.

Not only are the Patriots in a competitive division with the Bills, Jets and Dolphins, but they’re also in a STACKED conference that also includes the Chiefs, Bengals, Ravens and Chargers along with other competitive teams.

New England will likely lose at least Devin McCourty, who has been rumored to be leaning toward retirement. They also have some upcoming free agents that include CB Jonathan Jones and Myers.

It’s entirely possible that New England will compete for a Wild Card spot again this season, but making it past that – as they’ve failed to do for three straight years – doesn’t seem likely without a major roster change.

If you think oddsmakers have Patriots expectations wrong, you can bet on them with these sportsbooks:

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.