New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins: Prediction, Odds, Preview

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New England Patriots

Dec 12, 2016; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) shouts to the sideline
during the first half of a game against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots travel to Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida on New Year’s Day to face the Miami Dolphins at 1:00 PM televised on CBS.

New England is 13-2 and needs a win to lock-up home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Miami is 10-5 and trying to maintain momentum as they head into the playoffs under first-year head coach Adam Gase.

The New England Patriots lost their last two games at the end of the 2015 regular season to the New York Jets and the Dolphins and that ended-up costing them home-field advantage against the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game. This year they have avenged their loss to the Jets last year with a 41-3 thumping on Christmas Eve. Now the Dolphins await.


After opening as a six-point favorite, New England is favored by 10 points by Bovada, 9.5 points at Caesar’s Palace, nine points at BetOnline, and 10.5 points at 5Dimes. A big part of the big point spread is that the Patriots have been ridiculous on the road this season. They are 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread away from home.

Last week at home the New England Patriots were favored by 16.5/17 points and easily covered by beating the New York Jets by 38 points. However, the Dolphins are on a roll winning nine of their last ten games and are 8-1-1 against the spread. Bettors have been riding the Dolphins to easy money and will be looking to continue their run this week.

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